Wednesday, January 18, 2006

2004 Election - Canada



These are the SES data for the 2004 campaign. I have added my own "best-fit" trend lines (for Tories and Libs) to smooth out day-to-day bumps.

There was clearly a trend towards a Liberal victory from about the 3/4 point of the campaign, i.e. with about 10 days to go. The parties' support had really almost flattened out with about a week to go.



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