Wednesday, January 18, 2006
Atlantic Canada and Quebec
Here are the SES results for the 2006 campaign, for Atlantic Canada and Quebec. I have added my own "best-fit" trend lines for the Tories and the Libs.
It looks to me like the parties will be roughly tied in Atlantic Canada (meaning a seat gain for the Tories from 2004), and with the Tories ahead by a bit in Quebec (which means probably 2 to 4 seats for the CPC, and maybe 6 to 8 for the Libs, because of how the latter's vote is concentrated in Montreal).
